Tag: perpetual war

Turkish Expansionism: The Central Threat To Stability In The Eastern Mediterranean And The Balkans

The Turkish government is methodically advancing a revisionist maritime agenda that threatens to upend decades of relative stability in the Eastern Mediterranean. Through its newly prepared draft “Law on Turkish Maritime Jurisdiction Areas,” Ankara aims to enshrine expansive EEZ and continental shelf claims into domestic legislation. This move represents the institutionalization of the controversial “Blue Homeland” (Mavi Vatan) doctrine, aggressively promoted by Prof. Cihat Yaycı. In public appearances and analyses, Yaycı insists that international law favors Turkey, sharply distinguishing between continental shelf rights linked to the mainland and the allegedly limited role of Greek islands, while accusing Greece of unjustified expansionism. What is presented as a technical legal clarification is, in reality, a calculated political act intended to legitimize unilateral Turkish claims over vast maritime areas long considered Greek under international norms.

Greece is bearing the brunt of this sustained pressure. With thousands of islands scattered across the Aegean and Eastern Mediterranean, many of them close to the Turkish coast, Athens faces systematic attempts to diminish or eliminate the maritime zones these islands are entitled to generate. Turkish research vessels repeatedly enter disputed waters, fighter jets violate Greek airspace on a near-daily basis, and official Turkish maps increasingly portray large parts of the Aegean as Turkish. This is not abstract posturing. It directly threatens Greece’s sovereignty, its exclusive economic rights over potential hydrocarbon resources, and the security of its island populations. In this environment of constant tension, Greece quite naturally turns to its traditional allies in Europe and the United States, hoping they will uphold the rules-based international order and defend the principle that islands fully generate territorial waters and EEZs under the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea.

Unfortunately, the Western response has been fragmented and often self-defeating. While the European Union issues occasional statements supporting Greece and Cyprus, several member states continue to expand military, technological, and economic cooperation with Turkey. Defense industry partnerships, drone acquisitions, migration control agreements, and energy transit projects proceed apace. This pragmatic engagement bolsters Turkey’s economic and military capabilities at a time when Ankara is using that strength to challenge the territorial integrity and maritime rights of an EU member state. Such policies send a dangerous signal: revisionist behavior carries few meaningful costs. Instead of deterring Turkish assertiveness, Europe risks rewarding it, thereby weakening the collective security architecture it claims to uphold.

Turkish expansionism stands today as the single greatest source of instability across the Eastern Mediterranean and the Balkans. It extends far beyond the Aegean dispute. The 2019 Turkey-Libya maritime memorandum attempted to erase Greek rights in the Mediterranean; continued provocations around Cyprus perpetuate the island’s division; and assertive naval exercises regularly demonstrate Ankara’s willingness to project power. In the Balkans, Turkey pursues growing political and religious influence, often leveraging historical ties in ways that unsettle regional balances. This pattern reflects a broader neo-Ottoman strategic vision that seeks to reshape the post-World War II order according to Turkish preferences rather than accepted international law and mutual respect for sovereignty.

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Rubio braces for Hill grilling as Republicans join bid to curb Trump’s Iran war powers

Secretary of State Marco Rubio is expected to face tough questions on Capitol Hill this week as Congress threatens to curb President Donald Trump’s war powers, while the administration pushes for an end to the conflict with Iran.

Rubio will testify in four congressional hearings on Tuesday and Wednesday on the State Department’s budget for the upcoming fiscal year. But the Trump official is likely to be grilled on the ongoing negotiations to end the war and whether the U.S. military campaign should continue against Iranian forces and the country’s nuclear capabilities. 

The U.S. and Iran have yet to agree on terms to end sporadic fighting. Iran’s stockpile of highly enriched uranium, the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and potential sanctions relief have emerged as key sticking points in negotiations. 

President Donald Trump said Monday that he “couldn’t care less” if the stalled talks were over, in an interview with CNBC.

“I don’t care if they’re over, honestly,” Trump told the outlet. “If they’re over, they’re over. If they’re not, you know, I think they took too much time. Frankly, I thought they started to get very boring.”

The president’s comments followed fresh rounds of fighting over the weekend that tested the fragile ceasefires in place since early April. The U.S. military has shown no signs of ending its blockade of Iranian ports while Tehran has continued to flex its hold over the Strait of Hormuz.

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Why NATO’s defense spending imbalance lasted for decades

For more than three decades, the U.S. carried the largest share of NATO’s military burden while many European allies spent far less on defense than Washington wanted.

The imbalance survived the Cold War, multiple U.S. administrations and repeated debates over burden sharing. Only in recent years — following Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine and renewed pressure from President Donald Trump — have many NATO members begun significantly increasing defense spending.

So why did the gap persist for so long?

Defense analysts say the answer lies in a combination of post-Cold War optimism, domestic political priorities and an American defense umbrella that convinced much of Europe it could safely spend less on defense without sacrificing its security.

“For much of the post–Cold War period, it is fair to say that Europeans underinvested in defense, partly because threats were low, and partly because a series of U.S. presidents did everything they could to convince Europeans that we would stay there forever,” Barry Posen, a professor of political science at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, told Fox News Digital.

The collapse of the Soviet Union reinforced that mindset. 

With the primary threat NATO had been created to deter suddenly gone, governments across Europe moved to collect a so-called “peace dividend,” redirecting resources toward domestic priorities and away from their militaries.

Between 1992 and 1999, defense spending among European NATO members fell 22%, helping establish a pattern of underinvestment that would persist for decades even as the United States maintained troops in Europe and continued serving as NATO’s ultimate security backstop.

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Trump shows renderings of drone port planned for WH ballroom, blasts lawsuit against construction

President Donald Trump railed against the lawsuit directed at the planned White House ballroom, saying its security features “will safeguard our Nation’s Capital.”

In a Sunday Truth Social post, Trump published renderings of the proposed drone port that would be included with the ballroom construction, noting the need for enhanced security in light of modern weapons capabilities.

“The DronePort at the White House Ballroom will be, perhaps, the most sophisticated anywhere in the World! It will safeguard our Nation’s Capital, Washington, D.C., long into the future,” Trump said.

He went on to criticize the federal judge, Richard Leon, who issued an April amended preliminary injunction halting above-ground construction of the White House. According to the court document, an appellate court stayed the injunction a day later, allowing construction to resume as the case continues through the legal system. Oral arguments are scheduled for June 5th.

“Judge Richard Leon should stop playing games with America’s Security! If anything happens, he will be held responsible for the Death and Destruction caused to our Country,” the president said.

“He has already created enough problems by allowing ‘Top Secret’ information to be released and exposed based on a ridiculous lawsuit started by a highly litigious woman (serial plaintiff!) whose ‘strolling,’ in her opinion, will be disturbed by the new desperately needed structure — In any event, a woman who has absolutely no STANDING!” he continued.

He emphasized the weapons technology available in the modern-day environment, stating that more advanced tools are needed.

“With the advent of highly sophisticated, and powerful, modern day weaponry, we can no longer defend Washington, D.C., with rifles and pistols, alone. This ridiculous lawsuit must be dismissed, IMMEDIATELY!” he added.

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US Treasury Sanctions GAESA: The Cuban Military Conglomerate That Controls the Economy and Thrives on Donations

Secretary of State Marco Rubio described Grupo de Administración Empresarial S.A. (GAESA) as a “Cuban military-controlled financial conglomerate that steals millions in aid for the Cuban people at the behest of the regime.” The United States sanctioned GAESA on May 7, 2026, under Executive Order 14404, signed by President Trump on May 1. The State Department issued the designations while the Treasury Department’s Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) administered them.

Founded by Raúl Castro, GAESA is the economic arm of Cuba’s Revolutionary Armed Forces (FAR) and one of the country’s most powerful institutions. Despite existing within a nominally socialist state, it operates under an opaque structure resembling a capitalist corporation, with subsidiaries incorporated in Panama, Cyprus, and Liberia to bypass U.S. sanctions restrictions.

It controls an estimated 40 percent or more of the island’s economy, with gross profits representing close to 37 percent of Cuba’s GDP, total revenues 3.2 times greater than the annual Cuban state budget, and exports accounting for roughly 34 percent of the island’s total. The Food Monitor Program, in a formal complaint to the UN special rapporteur on the right to food, described GAESA as “a state within a state,” accusing it of worsening hunger and malnutrition through monopolistic control and financial opacity.

GAESA dominates Cuba’s most strategic and profitable sectors through a web of subsidiaries: tourism through Gaviota, retail and wholesale trade through CIMEX and TRD Caribe, and finance through RAFIN S.A. and Banco Financiero Internacional. It also controls remittances, logistics, port operations, including the Port of Mariel, construction, transportation, and foreign trade.

Its former chief, Gen. Luis Alberto Rodríguez López-Calleja, the former son-in-law of Raúl Castro, was separately sanctioned by the U.S. Treasury, which froze his U.S.-jurisdiction assets and prohibited American persons from dealing with him.

Leaked internal accounting documents reported by the Miami Herald showed GAESA held approximately $18 billion in current assets as of March 2024, of which $14.5 billion sat in undisclosed overseas bank accounts, even as Cuba’s broader economy collapsed. The U.S. State Department stated in its May 2026 sanctions announcement that GAESA controls up to $20 billion in illicit assets funneled into hidden overseas accounts, and that GAESA’s executive president Ania Guillermina Lastres Morera is personally responsible for managing those assets internationally.

Those funds exist entirely outside the Cuban government’s budget. In 2024, Cuba’s State Comptroller was dismissed after 14 years in office. The dismissal came after she publicly admitted that she lacked access to GAESA’s financial accounts. The conglomerate is entirely exempt from government audit. “There’s the Cuban government and they have a budget,” Rubio told reporters, “and then there’s this private company that has more money than the government does.

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Yemen’s Prisoner Swap and the UAE–Israel Project Saudi Arabia Couldn’t Bury

Behind a UN-backed prisoner exchange between Yemen’s internationally recognised government and the Houthis lies a deeper story of islands, radar, black sites, and a southern Yemen security order Riyadh chose to dismantle after years of coalition decay. This proxy network stretching from Yemen’s Socotra Island to Bosaso on Somalia’s coast, across the maritime corridor between the Red Sea and the Horn of Africa, was built on torture, constant sea surveillance and coalition infighting, only to be sold to the world by Western navies as “freedom of navigation.”

After January 2026, we were told that this decade-long tripartite between the UAE, Israel, and the Yemeni separatist Southern Transitional Council (STC) had been dismantled. But how much of that machinery still stands, under new flags and quieter names, waiting for the next round? Since January 2026, the noise has been about “dissolving” the STC and managing Saudi–UAE friction, but what almost no one has asked is whether the UAE–Israel island pact, its radars, runways and black‑site prisons strung along Yemen’s southern waters, ever stopped operating, or just slipped under friendlier flags.

Riyadh’s strike on the STC shattered a larger Red Sea order

On 14 May 2026, negotiators for Yemen’s Presidential Leadership Council and Ansarallah signed the country’s largest prisoner exchange since the war began, agreeing in Amman to swap more than 1,600 detainees under UN auspices. Saudi Arabia helped facilitate the deal behind the scenes, while the Emirati-backed Southern Transitional Council stayed out of sight and the UAE had no formal role at the table, even though some of the war’s most notorious detention networks grew out of the southern security order they built together. For families searching prisons, camps, and unofficial detention sites, the agreement offered a rare opening in a war that turned disappearance into routine.

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More Mystery Drone Incidents In EU Skies As Putin Mocks: “The Russians Are Coming!”

Flights at Germany’s Munich Airport were once again temporarily suspended on Saturday after a drone sighting was reported, eliciting a response from a large number of police and security services personnel.

Euronews reviews in the wake of the incident, which ended with the key European hub resuming regular operations after no UAV was found or identified, “Munich Airport closed twice within 24 hours in October following suspected drone sightings.”

This is the latest in a months-long spate of similar air traffic disruptions due to mysterious reported drone incursions, with European officials frequently voicing suspicions of a Russian sabotage and disruption campaign of EU airspace.

But the biggest incident this week happened in Romania, where local officials described that during the Russian military’s assault on Ukraine Thursday night, a Russian drone slammed into the residential building in the southeastern city of Galati – resulting in an explosion and a fire that injured two people.

The Romanian Foreign Affairs Ministry condemned the “grave and irresponsible escalation from Russia” while further declaring it has issued formal request for more anti-drone defense measures from NATO.

“Romania has informed allies and NATO’s secretary-general about the circumstances and requested measures to accelerate the transfer of anti-drone capabilities to Romania,” the ministry said.

While Romania and other countries which border Ukraine have witnessed ‘errant’ drones and missiles come across the border before, this was the first time Romania in particular has suffered casualties as a result of a projectile hitting a densely populated city or area.

President Putin himself has weighed in, demanding that forensic proof that this was indeed a Russian drone – and not a Ukrainian one – be handed over to the Kremlin for an investigation.

He also used the opportunity in Friday remarks to highlight that Russia is always blamed for any and all drone incursions into European airspace due to Russiaphobia. Putin said according to TASS:

Ukrainian drones have previously entered the airspace of various countries, and initial reports consistently claimed it was “a Russian attack,” President Vladimir Putin said in response to a TASS question about the drone incident in Romania.

“We know that Ukrainian drones have flown into Finland, Poland, and several Baltic states. The initial reaction was exactly the same as it is now in Romania. ‘Oh no, the Russians are coming, it’s a Russian attack!'” Putin recalled.

While the Russian leader was being deeply ironic with his ‘the Russians are coming’ comment, it is true that just earlier this month NATO jets were scrambled over Estonia and shot down an errant Ukrainian-origin drone which had drifted into Baltic/EU airspace.

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EU Commissioner Blames Stagflation on War

Europe is now openly admitting it faces a stagflation shock, but this crisis did not suddenly appear because of the Iran war. The war merely accelerated a collapse that was already well underway due to years of catastrophic policy decisions. Valdis Dombrovskis, European Commissioner for Economy and Productivity, described the situation as a “stagflationary shock” as oil prices surged again on fears the conflict could drag on and destabilize energy markets further.

I have warned repeatedly that Europe was heading into a depression long before a single missile flew in the Middle East. Germany was already in industrial decline. Manufacturing across Europe was already contracting. Energy costs had already exploded after the sanctions war against Russia. The politicians destroyed their own energy security and then pretended green energy fantasies would somehow replace reality.

Now they act shocked that oil moving above $110 a barrel is feeding inflation again. Reuters reported that G7 borrowing costs have surged from roughly 3.2% to nearly 4% since the war began as markets fear inflation will remain entrenched. The International Energy Agency also warned global oil supply could fall short of demand by 1.78 million barrels per day this year because of the conflict.

This is precisely how stagflation unfolds. Economic growth stalls while the cost of living continues rising. The average person gets crushed from both directions simultaneously. Wages cannot keep pace with food, fuel, transportation, and housing costs. Washington Post noted US inflation has already climbed to 3.8%, the highest since 2023, largely driven by energy prices. Europe faces even worse structural problems because its economy is far more dependent on imported energy and heavily burdened by regulation and taxation.

The political class keeps pretending this is temporary. That is exactly what governments said during the 1970s oil crisis before stagflation spiraled into years of economic misery. The difference now is governments are entering this crisis carrying record sovereign debt levels. They cannot raise rates aggressively without detonating their own bond markets.

The stagflation wave was already in place before the first bombs fell because governments destroyed productive economies through sanctions, climate mandates, reckless spending, and endless monetary manipulation. The Iran conflict merely exposed how fragile the global economy had already become.

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‘Ceasefire Is a Joke’: Israeli Soldiers Recount Ongoing Indiscriminate Killings in Gaza

Israel Defense Forces soldiers interviewed for an article published Friday by The Associated Press described ongoing indiscriminate killing of Palestinians – including civilians – despite a purported ceasefire.

One IDF combat soldier told the AP that he saw his teammates “yelling in celebration” and “congratulating one another” after blowing up a vehicle driving near the ever-expanding so-called “yellow line” dividing the Gaza Strip into Israeli and Palestinian-controlled zones. The strike killed everyone inside the vehicle.

“It was a jungle,” the soldier said. “After the ceasefire, the order was: If someone crosses the line, you shoot them.”

The problem is, the yellow line is often unclear, invisible, and often shifts. It cuts through farmland, roads, neighborhoods, and areas where Palestinians live and work.

Nadav Weiman, an IDF veteran who is now the executive director of the veterans’ whistleblower group Breaking the Silence, told the AP that the military’s permissive shoot-to-kill policy has “created a reality where countless civilians have and are being killed for crossing invisible lines.”

One IDF soldier interviewed by the AP said “there was a general feeling that human lives are not valuable.” The soldier said his commanding officer told him it would be “too much work” to clearly mark the yellow line, and that Palestinians were supposed to somehow know where it was.

According to the AP, one soldier said that “sometimes snipers fired warning shots at people close to the line… but commanders told troops to do more to protect themselves. The soldier understood that to mean firing more lethal shots.”

“Soldiers shooting or ordering drone strikes don’t always know who’s crossing the line,” the AP reported, citing interviewed troops. “Although soldiers must provide coordinates and get approval from superiors before striking, it’s hard to give exact information as people are moving,” and soldiers reported colleagues “calling in coordinates based on a hunch or the last place they saw someone.”

IDF troops interviewed by the AP also described “a sense of confusion” and “a lack of clarity on rules of engagement around the yellow line.” Some commanders “paid lip service” to the ceasefire agreement that’s been in effect since last October, but in practice ignored it.

According to Gaza’s Government Media Office, Israel has violated the ceasefire more than 3,005 times, resulting in more than 900 Palestinians killed and nearly 2,800 others injured, despite the truce.

“To call it a ceasefire is a joke,” one IDF soldier told the AP.

Israel claims that the entire length of the yellow line is now clearly marked. However, as Common Dreams reported this week, the IDF has incrementally shifted the boundary deeper into Gaza, where Israel now controls more than 60% of the coastal strip. This has left Palestinians sometimes waking up to learn they’re in “open-fire zones” where they are subjected to being shot on sight.

Since the October 7, 2023 Hamas-led attack on Israel, Israeli forces have killed or wounded more than 250,000 Palestinians in Gaza, including thousands of people who are missing and presumed dead and buried beneath rubble. Israeli troops have previously described indiscriminate killing of Palestinian civilians, including children and aid-seekers.

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Is A New Iron Curtain Inevitable?

Russia’s consequent focus on the western front might embolden US-backed NATO member Turkiye to accelerate its power play in the south at the risk of sparking another regional crisis after Ukraine.

Russian Ambassador-at-Large Artyom Bulatov warned in a recent interview that “Westerners, with energy worthy of a better cause, are erecting a new ‘Iron Curtain’, seeking to make irreversible the rupture – provoked by themselves – of socio-economic, trade, transport, interpersonal, cultural, and historical ties that have been built in the region not over years, but over centuries.” He also condemned the weaponization of regional interaction mechanisms like the Council of the Baltic States against Russia.

Truth be told, a new Iron Curtain is inevitable and has been since summer 2024 when the Baltic States and Poland combined their respective border fortification plans along NATO’s Eastern Flank to unveil what they now officially refer to as the “EU Defense Line”, which readers can learn more about here. This initiative will likely be expanded to include Finland too, thus stretching from the Arctic to Central Europe. Even in the event of a Russian-US rapprochement, which is now unlikely, these barriers will still remain.

Russian experts, who operated for so long under the influence of the wishful thinking fantasy that the EU is challenging Russia at its senior US patron’s behest and not due to its own ideologically driven hatred of Russia (contrary to its objective interests), are finally waking up to reality. New President of the Russian International Affairs Council Dmitriy Trenin, who issued an unprecedented clarion call in April for correcting foreign policy misperceptions, published a relevant piece in parallel with Bulatov’s interview.

Titled “The EU, Like ‘NATO 3.0,’ Will Remain Our Adversaries”, it dramatically begins by informing readers that “For the first time since 1945, the most pressing military threat to Russia is coming from Europe—European states themselves. This represents the most significant military-political shift for Russia since the victory in the Great Patriotic War.” The goal, Trenin believes, is “to split the Russian Federation into externally controlled components and turn them into semi-colonies of the European Union.”

This will be pursued through indefinitely perpetuating the NATO-Russian proxy war in Ukraine together with ramping up sanctions and military pressure for undermining domestic political stability.

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