Shocking Actuarial Analysis Shows that Bloated Voter Rolls Hide Impossible Voter Turnouts of Over 100%

This actuarial analysis outlines misleading voter turnouts caused by bloated voter rolls.

It is well established that the Virginia Registration List (“VRL”) is materially overinflated. Recent estimates suggest that the list may include more than 1 million false registrations (excluding inactive registrations).

What may be underappreciated is that the high number of false registrations on the voter rolls materially distorts reported voter turnout statistics.

This mathematical demonstration shows how false registrations make turnout statistics unreliable, and facilitates an opportunity to hide election fraud. To illustrate this problem, Virginia’s Henrico County 2020 Presidential reported turnout statistics are used.

Facts:

US Census estimates based on actual surveys for the ratio of the number of registrants on the rolls to the citizen voting-age population nationwide for the last six general elections are presented below. Note that the highest ratio was recorded in 2020, at 72.7%. Virginia’s ratio was between 75% and 76%.

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