It’s less than one month from the 2024 presidential election and it feels like there has been a shift.
The Kamala Harris campaign must be nervous. Democratic polling suggests Trump has made gains – and even leads – key swing states. An internal poll from Democrat Tammy Baldwin’s Senate campaign, for example, shows Trump up by 3% in Wisconsin. It’s getting to the point that Michigan Democrats have begged Kamala to do more events in that state, as she lags with union support and polls poorly with men. Her struggles in Michigan are not unique to that state – she faces the same problems in every other close race she needs to win, particularly Pennsylvania and Nevada.
The sign of Democratic concern has always been whether Kamala and Tim Walz will do interviews. It’s risk reward: Kamala interviews poorly, and people seem to like her less the more they get to know her, but in such a close race where Kamala can’t seem to gain momentum, what are the other options?
Their hand has been forced. The Democrats’ internal polls might not be totally public, save for the occasional leak, but her own people know “they’re not moving the needle.”